Among Cap and Trade, RES, and CES, Which Would Work Best? The One That's Not Currently Under Consideration

After the death of Waxman-Markey, and given the current political climate, cap and trade is the Legislation Which Shall Not Be Named. Instead, there is discussion of either a renewable electricity standard (RES) or clean electricity standard (CES), and the talking points for supporters concern energy security and the growth of a clean energy economy, not climate change (also known as the Reality Which Shall Not Be Named). 

Either an RES or an CES would spur use of alternatives to fossil fuels in electricity generation and would lead to decreases in CO2 emissions. However, as a report issued yesterday by the Congressional Budget Office highlighted, neither an RES nor a CES could reduce carbon emissions in as cost-effective a manner as could a cap and trade system. Moreover, a cap and trade program would ensure a certain level of GHG reductions, while the GHG impact of any particular RES or CES program would be uncertain.

I still don't understand how a market-based regulatory approach that originally had to be sold to skeptical environmentalists because it was seen as a "license to pollute" has become the poster child for government overreaching. 

Federalism Today: Biomass Edition

Justice Brandeis famously suggested that states may “serve as a laboratory” for the rest of the country. If this is so, I think it is fair to say that U.S. EPA has not accepted the results of the biomass experiment conducted in Massachusetts. Last year, following receipt of a study regarding the GHG emission implications of various types of biomass fuels, Massachusetts decided to severely restrict the circumstances in which biomass would be considered a renewable fuel.

Earlier this week, EPA decided not to go along with the restrictive approach taken by Massachusetts, and granted a petition to stay application of GHG permitting to biomass facilities, while EPA further studies the issue. Specifically, EPA promised to amend the tailoring rule to exempt biomass facilities for three years. In a letter EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson sent to Senator Stabenow as part of the announcement, Jackson stated that:

biomass can be part of a national strategy to reduce dependence on fossil fuels, and efforts are underway to foster the expansion of renewable resources and promote biomass as ways of addressing climate change and enhancing forest management.

It’s one thing for a state to differ from the federal government or other states on matters of policy. However, my guess is that the federal EPA and the great Commonwealth of Massachusetts have pretty much the same policy goal – reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. This is really a question of science. Does use of biomass help reduce GHG emissions? Shouldn’t the answer be the same everywhere?

I’m not a scientist and cannot comment on the reliability of the Massachusetts biomass study. (And I should disclose that our firm has represented the proponent of one of the biomass plants in Massachusetts.) However, it does seem to me that this is one area in which a uniform national policy is the right approach. Let’s give EPA the three years that it apparently needs to sort out the issue, and then have one policy applicable nationwide.

Would CES Legislation Be Like Half a Loaf of Cap-And-Trade?

With everyone in agreement that cap-and-trade legislation is dead in Congress for the near term, attention is now turning to whether Congress might be able to pass some kind of renewable or clean energy standard. In fact, even Thomas Donahue, President of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, sworn foe of cap-and-trade legislation, is saying that the Chamber could support some kind of climate change legislation – presumably a CES including nuclear power – as long as the legislation precludes EPA regulation of GHG under existing authority. 

For those who are taking the half a loaf approach to climate legislation, I recommend this post by Rob Stavins at Harvard and Dick Schmalensee at MIT, which compares cap-and-trade legislation with CES legislation. The piece is a remarkably cogent short analysis of the issue, so I hate to excerpt something which can be read in a few minutes. Nonetheless, for the lazy among my readers, the bottom line is that:

Carbon cap-and-trade has been killed in the Senate, presumably because of its costs. Renewable electricity standards or clean energy standards would accomplish considerably less and would impose much higher costs per ton of emissions reduction than cap-and-trade would. This does not sound like a step forward.

Nearing Agreement on a House Climate Bill?

Are Representatives Waxman and Markey near settling on language that will get a majority in Committee for the climate change bill?  The tenor today was significantly more positive than in the past few weeks.  An update seemed worthwhile, given the number of specific provisions on which agreement has apparently been reached.

1.                   The initial CO2e reduction goal will be 17% over 2005 levels by 2020.  This compares to 14% sought by the President and 20% in the original draft bill.

2.                   35% of allowances would be distributed to local distribution companies and 15% of allowances would be distributed to industries subject to international trade issues, though the percentages would decrease over time.

3.                   The renewable electricity standard, or RES, would be set at 15% by 2020.  The efficiency standard, or EERS, would be set at 5% by 2020.  If s state demonstrates that it cannot meet the 15% RES, the RES could be set as low as 12%, as long as the state makes up the difference by increasing the EERS percentage so that the total of the RES and EERS equals 20%.

It’s still not obvious when a bill will be done or if there is a majority, but House Majority Whip James Clyburn was quoted as indicating he thinks he can deliver the votes on the House floor. 

The House Climate Bill: Details on the Energy Provisions

 As we have already noted, Representatives Waxman and Markey released a 648-page discussion draft energy bill last week that provides the first comprehensive look at how Congress may approach the nexus of energy, job creation, and the environment. Although this bill is only being released in discussion draft form, as the first major energy volley by Congressional Democrats, it will undoubtedly have a major influence on the debate in Washington. 

In addition to the global warming provisions that we posted about last week, clean and renewable energy occupies a significant place in the draft bill.  The first 157 pages are dedicated to energy, with additional provisions scattered throughout. 

Title I, the clean energy section, addresses four broad policy areas: (1) creation of a national renewable energy standard, (2) carbon capture and geologic sequestration (“CCS”), (3) low-carbon vehicles and transportation fuels, and (4) electricity transmission including smart grid technologies. In addition, the draft creates a State Energy and Environment Development Fund ("SEED Fund") to act as a repository for monies received through federal energy programs.  Each of these provisions is an example of how policy leaders are beginning to see synergies between job creation and environmental stewardship. 

We take a deeper dive into the energy provisions after the jump.

National Renewable Energy Standard

The centerpiece of the renewable energy provisions is the creation of a new renewable energy standard ("RES"). The RES would operate like a national version of the renewable energy portfolio standards already in place in many states. Load-serving entities such as utilities would be required to purchase an escalating minimum percentage of their load from qualified renewable resources. Compliance is demonstrated through the buying and selling of renewable energy certificates ("RECs"), where each certificate represents 1 MW of renewable power. If an entity fails to buy enough RECs to meet its compliance obligation, it may make alternative compliance payments on a dollar-per-MWh basis. Banking RECs for up to three years is allowed. 

State-run renewable portfolio standards have been a major driver of growth in the renewables space, but whether a federal RES can be as successful on a national scale is a hotly-debated question. 

Although the mechanics of the RES may sound familiar, several details are particularly noteworthy:

·         The draft establishes an aggressive RES goal, beginning with 6% of load in 2012 and 2013 and increasing to 25% of load by 2025. By way of comparison, the Energy Information Administration reports that renewable energy represented approximately 3% of electricity sales in 2007.

·         State governors may elect to meet one fifth of the RES goal though energy efficiency measures if the compliance entities within the state are subject to the Federal Energy Efficiency Resource Standard (established by Title II of the draft)

·         The price at which federal RECs will trade is unknowable at this point, but the alternative compliance payment provisions at least provide a sense of what the price cap is. The RES sets the alternative compliance payment at the lesser of 200% of the average price of a federal REC or $50 per MWh (adjusted annually for inflation).

·         Distributed generation facilities may benefit from a 3x REC multiplier, meaning they receive 3 RECs for each MWh generated.

·         The draft creates a Renewable Energy Deployment Fund to receive alternative compliance payments and distribute the proceeds back to retail electric suppliers that met - at least in part - their RES obligations through the purchase of RECs. A supplier would receive these funds in proportion to number of RECs it purchased.

·         Judicial review includes a citizen suit provision, which gives standing to "any person who will be adversely affected by a final action taken by the Secretary [of Energy]".

·         If a renewable generator has an existing power sales contract with a retail supplier that does not specify which party owns any RECs that may be created, the draft provides that all RECs will be issued to the supplier and not the generator.

Carbon Capture and Geologic Sequestration

·         The Secretary of Energy, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, and other agency heads, are directed to prepare a report that details the legal and regulatory barriers to wide-scale deployment of CCS. 

·         Creates the Carbon Storage Research Corporation, which would operate within the Electric Power Research Institute and be lead by a board of directors that is comprised of representatives from utility companies, consumer groups, generators, fossil fuel producers, and environmental organizations. The Corporation would be allowed to collect between $1.0 and 1.1 billion annually through utility assessments, and the funds would be used to provide grants and other assistance to projects that promote CCS commercialization.

Transportation: Biofuels and Electric Vehicles

·         A new low-carbon fuel standard for transportation fuels, emphasizing advanced bio-fuels.

·         Requirements that state regulators and utility companies develop plans to better accommodate hybrid-electric vehicles, with special emphasis on the development of a charging or batter-exchange infrastructure and integrating hybrid vehicles into the distribution system.

·         Financial support for car companies retooling their manufacturing lines to build plug-in electric vehicles and purchase domestically-produced vehicle batteries.

Smart Grid and Transmission

·         The draft requires the EPA and DOE to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of integrating smart-grid technologies into Energy Star products.

·         Requires the development of peak demand reduction goals for load-serving entities beginning in 2012. Although the draft allows states or utilities to establish the percentage reduction goals, it specifies that the goal should be that which is “realistically achievable with an aggressive effort to deploy Smart Grid and peak demand reduction technologies and methods”.

·         Directs FERC to adopt comprehensive planning principles for a national electric grid and coordinate with regional transmission organizations such as ISO-NE.